Food Expiration Dates?

Food expiration dates: What do they really mean?
By Ann Pietrangelo Posted Mon Aug 16, 2010 4:30pm PDT
http://green.yahoo.com/blog/care2/54/food-expiration-dates-what-do-they-really-mean.html
Are you one of those people who pour the milk down the drain on the expiration date?
Expiration dates on food products can protect consumer health, but those dates are really more about quality than safety, and if not properly understood, they can also encourage consumers to discard food that is perfectly safe to eat.
A recent poll of more than 2,000 adults showed that most of us discard food we believe is unsafe to eat, which is a good thing, of course, but it is important that we understand what food expiration dates mean before we dump our food -- and our money -- down the drain or into the garbage. On average, in the U.S. We waste about 14% of the food we buy each year. The average American family of four throws out around $600 worth of groceries every year.
Which five foods are most often feared as being unsafe after the printed date? According to ShelfLifeAdvice.com, we are most wary of milk, cottage cheese, mayonnaise, yogurt, and eggs, and the site offers these helpful explanations:
Milk: If properly refrigerated, milk will remain safe, nutritious, and tasty for about a week after the sell-by date and will probably be safe to drink longer than that, though there’s a decline in nutritional value and taste.
Cottage cheese: Pasteurized cottage cheese lasts for 10-14 days after the date on the carton.
Mayonnaise: Unopened, refrigerated Kraft mayonnaise can be kept for 30 days after its expiration date or 3-4 months after opening, the company told ShelfLifeAdvice.
Yogurt: Yogurt will remain good 7-10 days after its sell-by date.
Eggs: Properly refrigerated eggs should last at least 3-5 weeks after the sell-by date, according to Professor Joe Regenstein, a food scientist at Cornell University. Note: Use of either a sell-by or expiration (EXP) date is not federally required, but may be state required, as defined by the egg laws in the state where the eggs are marketed.
The “Use-By” Date
The “use-by” or “best if used-by” date indicates the last day that the item is at its best quality as far as taste, texture, appearance, odor, and nutritional value. The decline after that is gradual. The use-by date refers to product that has not yet been opened.
The “Sell By” Date
The “sell by” date is not really a matter of food safety, but a notice to stores that the product should be taken off the shelf because it will begin to decline in quality after that date.
The Law
From the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA): “Product dating is not generally required by federal regulations. However, if a calendar date is used, it must express both the month and day of the month (and the year, in the case of shelf-stable and frozen products). If a calendar date is shown, immediately adjacent to the date must be a phrase explaining the meaning of that date such as "sell-by" or "use before."
There is no uniform or universally accepted system used for food dating in the United States. Although dating of some foods is required by more than 20 states, there are areas of the country where much of the food supply has some type of open date and other areas where almost no food is dated.”
Food-Borne Illness
Cross-contamination and unsanitary conditions are a primary cause of food-related illnesses, whether it occurs in the home or in a restaurant, and this is independent of any expiration date. The leading culprits are:
Improper hand-washing prior to food preparation.
Storing food at the wrong temperature.
Cooking food to an inadequate temperature.
Cross-contamination (raw meats that come into contact with salads, for instance).
Improper washing of fresh produce.
The Yuck Factor: Common Sense Approach to Food Safety
Aside from any expiration date or lack thereof, if a food item is moldy or if it smells and looks spoiled, err on the side of caution. If it makes you say, “yuck,” throw it away.
 
 
 

Oops! There Goes My Career

Oops, there goes my career.

A young ensign is working late at the Pentagon one evening. As he

clocks out of his office at about 8 P.M. he sees the Admiral standing

by the classified document shredder in the hallway, a piece of paper in

his hand.

“Do you know how to work this thing?” the Admiral asks. “My

secretary’s gone home and I don’t know how to run it.”

“Yes, sir,” says the young ensign, who turns on the machine, takes

the paper from the Admiral, and feeds it in.

“Thanks,” says the Admiral, “I just need one copy…”

The Indian Mating Tree

Digressions of J. Charles

© June 2004

The Indian Mating Tree

by

J. Charles Cheek[1] 

Crews of clearing contractor, Junior Murray, were felling trees along the rights of way for the 500,000-volt electric transmission line being built by Pacific Power & Light (PP&L) from south-central Idaho to Medford, Oregon. Trees being cut down were on land of the Fremont National Forest. The PP&L contract required the contractor to make his workers fully aware of the possibility of coming across cultural resources. Workers were instructed to report any findings to their boss and the PP&L construction inspector.

When the men falling trees in the rights-of-way with chain saws came across a tree that had signs of an old blaze about three feet above the ground they pointed it out to the inspector. The inspector in turn reported it to the Chief Inspector, Bob Sires. Sires contacted Junior Murray and they went to the site of the tree with the mystery blaze. Along the way they decided to have some fun spoofing the Forest Service’s greenhorn archeologist.

Fresh out of college and newly employed by the Forest Service, the young archeologist was called to the site and informed by Murray and Sires that they believed the tree to be an Indian mating tree. They claimed they had heard a legend in the area that a young buck taking a bride would consummate the marriage under a tree then blaze the tree with his tomahawk. Sires and Murray suggested that the tree be cut about five-foot above the ground in order to preserve the culturally significant blaze. They were displaying overly serious faces in order to hide their prank.

Unfortunately for them the young archeologist didn’t see the humor in it. In fact, he bought their story completely and ordered the entire tree protected until he could talk with the Forest Supervisor. He said the entire line might have to be rerouted around the tree. Now, the humor of the situation disappeared from the thoughts of Sires and Murray.

I was the Project Manager for PP&L and heard about the Indian Mating Tree when I got a call from the Forest Supervisor informing me of the serious nature of the find. The archeologist was sitting in his office at the time and had convinced him that it was a legitimate cultural resource – an Indian Mating Tree. “He’s thinking that the line should be rerouted around the tree,” said the Supervisor. “Maybe you better come down here and we’ll both go out there and see it for ourselves,” he strongly suggested.

“I’ll catch the 6am flight tomorrow for Klamath Falls and meet you at the site by 10 AM,” I replied. Then I called Sires and asked him to pick me up at the airport the next morning. I told him about the call from the Forest Supervisor and he didn’t comment other than to confirm that he was aware of the situation.

Sires meet me at the airport then he drove us the eighty miles to the Forest Supervisor’s office in Lakeview, Oregon. Along the way he confessed that it was a prank gone sour. He said that his clearing inspector was an amateur historian and believed that the blaze had nothing to do with Indians. He had previously researched the pioneer history of the area and found that a line blazed through the forest at that location was done to mark the boundary between the open range for sheep and cattle. 

“Where is the book you read that in?” I asked.

“He said he got it from the library.”

The Supervisor, his greenhorn archeologist, and the PP&L inspector were already at the site when we arrived. It was a short meeting because the inspector had already told them about the history book that described a line that had been blazed in the late 1800s to separate the sheep and cattle people. The archeologist was instructed by his boss to find the book, review the situation further and report back to him with a recommendation.

That afternoon, I met the Supervisor back at his office and discussed the situation. Without revealing that the whole thing was a prank gone awry, I suggested that the archeologist might have been unduly influenced by Sires and Murray who were overly sensitive to the Indian cultural resource conditions of the Forest Service permit. He said he’d let me know what his decision was after hearing back from the archeologist.

It was a silent ride back to the airport at Klamath Falls that night as both Sires and I contemplated the potentially costly results of the prank. Rerouting the line around the tree would cost tens of thousands of dollars.

The Forest Supervisor telephoned me the next day and said he had decided that the line would not have to be rerouted around the tree. However, the tree was to be high-cut at ten feet above the ground. I was relieved and passed the news on to Sires who informed me that the clearing crew had bypassed the tree and would have to bring their equipment back to high-cut the tree. He said Murray had already told him it would cost an extra $1000 to bring the crew back. Then he quickly added, “But I’ll see to it that he does it for no charge.” 

E – N – D


[1] Mr. Cheek has written dozens short stories under the general headings of True Stores from the 20th Century at Pacificorp and Digressions of J. Charles.  He is also the author of the novel Stay Safe, Buddy – A Story of Humor and Horror during the Korean War,300 pages, Publish America ISBN # 159286631X

Banks and Credit Unions

True Stories from the 20th Century at Pacificorp

 

Banks and Credit Unions

By J. Charles Cheek

© November 2005

 

Not for profit, for charity, but for service. That is the motto of the credit union movement. I learned about the service component vividly in my first few days of employment at Pacific Power & Light Company.

In January of 1961 I was a 27-year old new college graduate with a wife and four young sons. I asked a large Portland bank for a $900 loan to consolidate debts accumulated during my last semester in college.  The bank loan officer insisted that I make out a written net worth statement even though I told him my total holdings included only a $50 car and some used furniture worth about the same amount.  I told him my net worth was about minus $800. The young loan officer chastised me for, “not being worth more at my age,” and again said I would need to furnish him a written net worth statement.  Among other loan papers he said the bank would require me to sign a chattel mortgage – a lean on my $50 car and other personal assets such as furniture and clothing. 

I took the bank loan application forms and fumed out the door into the lobby of the Public Service Building. More than annoyed, I took the elevator back to the 15th floor of the Public Service Building then walked up the stairs to the 16th floor loft location that housed the design engineering section. I later learned that some top executives and other employees derogatorily referred to that attic location as the “drafting room.” That attitude was a byproduct of the authoritarian management style of the organization at that time. But I digress. Stories of management at PP&L are better dealt with separately in stories central to that subject.

Back at my drafting desk a fellow employee noticed my annoyance and asked, “Are you okay, John?”

I blurted out the story of my just finished visit with the bank loan officer.

“Screw them,” he replied. “Why don’t you check with Electra Credit Union[1] for a loan.”

 “What is a Credit Union? I have never heard of that, but then I didn’t know what a chattel mortgage is either until that loan officer said I would be guaranteeing my loan with everything I own. ”

“Yeah, well don’t worry about it. That A-hole loan officer probably never heard of a moment diagram either. He’s probably just jealous of you being a graduate engineer.”

I was easing up and beginning to see a little humor in the situation. But very little, as my $900.00 loan was due 30 days after graduation and that date was fast approaching. At this point in the story let me make it clear that I am not against banking per se. I am not opposed to the free enterprise system in its entirety. My annoyance is against big impersonal national and multi-national corporations, including large financial institutions. Many recent examples are available to show that the pursuit of profit for the personal gain of those running the big corporations is a prime motivation. Notable examples of the dishonesty, greed and hypocrisy in corporate America today are Exxon, WorldCom and even Arthur Anderson, the giant and formerly prestigious giant auditing firm. Even cooperatively owned credit unions are not immune from the drive of individuals to make huge personal gains by devious and cunning maneuvering. Almost two dozen have converted to banking institutions. That is another story that needs telling, a story of the cunning, devious, and legal process that has been used by some credit unions to convert the net assets of a credit union into a stockholder bank. But I digress.

Anyway, I owed the $900.00 to a little family owned bank in Pullman, Washington. That little bank had just a few employees and the loan officer was the owner himself. When I told him that I had just one semester left to get my degree in civil engineering and already had several job offers he readily agreed to loan me enough money to finish my engineering education. I simply went to him at the first of each month and told him how much money I needed for the next 30 days and he would write me a check for that amount in exchange for my signature on an updated loan paper. I would have been pleased to extend the loan with that little bank but in those days it was inconvenient to do business when physically separated by several hundred miles.

Electra CU had a one-employee closet size branch office on the fourth floor the Public Service Building. I told the lady running the branch my story and Electra CU readily loaned me the money.  No net worth statement was needed, just my signature on a promissory note and an agreement to have the monthly payment deducted from my paycheck.  From that day forward I have been a diehard believer in credit unions. Today, seventy percent of my total liquid assets are invested in insured deposits at Credit Unions. So, in addition to being a diehard believer in the credit union way, I have a highly vested interest in keeping credit unions as successful financial organizations.

In 2003 I got vitally interested in the governance of credit unions when one that I was a member of, Columbia Credit Union,  announced that they were going to convert to a mutual bank. I was adamantly opposed and joined a small group who waged a battle over the issue and stopped the conversion. I hope to tell that story elsewhere and reveal the process that white collar thieves use to get a credit union’s net assets transferred into the ownership of a very small group of former credit union officials and a few knowledgeable investors.

 E – N – D

 


[1] Electra Credit Union has since merged with PACE Credit Union under the name of Advantis Credit Union – https://www.advantiscu.org/.

A Handshake to Riches – The Story of Charley James

True Stories from the 20th Century at Pacificorp

By J. Charles Cheek

© June 2004

 

A Handshake to Riches – The Story of Charley James

 

Charley James was a little man that smoked big Cuban cigars and always drove a new Cadillac automobile. He worked out regularly and looked good in his silk suits. I would have been a nervous wreck smoking cigars while wearing a very expensive silk suit. Charley was very careful and tidy though. His car was always showroom clean and shiny. Tom Edwards, a substation designer during that era, told me that he once witnessed how proud Charley was of his Cadillac. Someone on the street struck a stick match on his car and Charley read him the riot act. The offender responded with a finger gesture so Charley knocked him out with one punch, climbed into his car and drove away. 

Charley was the exclusive sales representative in the Northwest States for the Lapp Insulator Company. Charley was the first sales representative to buy me lunch after I went to work as a design engineer for Pacific Power & Light Company (PP&L) in February of 1961. Unlike the other sales representative who took the managers and supervisors to lunch, Charley bought lunch for up to six of us at the same time. Also unlike most of the other reps, he never talked business before, during or after lunch. Business talk took place back at the office one on one with each person.

I met Charley after my supervisor, Ken Stevens, gave me the assignment of designing the first transmission line using a brand new insulator being peddled by Charley – the post insulator. I told the story of that design experience in a short story titled, 16th Floor Engineering Design. I won’t repeat it here but suffice to say that it was my first introduction to an on the job training course that could have been titled, Management Reality 101.

Charley and I became working associates and business friends. One day I did something unique, I asked Charley to allow me to take him to lunch. He accepted and we met in the dinning room of the Hilton Hotel located directly across the street from the Public Service Building at 920 SW 5th Avenue. My motive was greed. I wanted to earn more money. I wanted to find out about the business of being a successful manufacturing representative like Charley. After regular working hours I had obtained a part-time job selling Cutco Cutlery. I had also completed the Dale Carnegie Sales Course. I forced myself to discuss other things for a few minutes but finally gave in and asked, “Charley, you are obviously very successful at what you do. How did you get into the business of being a sales representative?”

“You’re the first person who ever ask me that question,” he replied with obvious pleasure.  He then proceeded to tell me a fascinating story of his ambition, effort and risk taking toward becoming a successful manufacturing sales representative.

Just out of the army after WWII, Charley went to work as a inside salesman for General Electric in their office in Seattle, Washington. “I was just a glorified clerk,” said Charley, “but I worked hard and after a few years I was promoted to a sales representative position. After learning the basics of that job from my boss and the other sales representatives I worked my butt off and did well in sales. Since my pay was mostly salary based there was not much reward for working extra hard. I complained to my wife about not being rewarded enough for getting much better sales that the other sales representatives working out of the Seattle office. She kept reminding me that my income was sufficient to support the two of us and our new baby plus save some money.”

Charley explained to me, in a serious tone, his feelings of being torn between settling for a comfortable salary as compared to working for a commission only where the monetary reward is totally dependent on results. He knew that General Electric would not change their large sales operation just so one salesman out of hundreds in the country could work on straight commission. “Okay, I’ll just have to bide my time until I can get a supervisory job that pays more,” he said he kept telling himself.” He was depressed when he began to look at that possibility. Both his boss and the Northwest Manager was just a couple of years older than he was. GE’s Vice President of Sales was also just a few years older. 

“Then one day,” he said smiling, “my depression turned to excitement when I read about a new insulator called a post insulator. It was being manufactured by a company called Lapp back on the East Coast.” I could feel the excitement in Charley’s voice, “I told my wife I was going to change jobs and sell those insulators in the Northwest. I’ll make a lot more money.” His wife was not enthusiastic but went along with it since she knew he was not happy in his present job.

Charley took some vacation time off, bought a round-trip train ticket and headed for the Lapp Company office on the East Coast. He walked in the door and asked to see the National Sales Manager. “I want to sell those new kind of insulators out in the Northwest,” he told the Manager.

“Do you live in the Northwest?” asked the Manager.

“Seattle,” replied Charley.

“Did you come all the way from Seattle just to ask me about that?”

“Sure did. Right now I’m a real good salesman for GE and I want to get out on my own. I’m sure I’ll sell a lot of those insulators.”

“Wish you would have called. I would have told you that I have already looked at the Northwest and decided that it would not provide enough business for us to afford to pay a salesman to cover that area.”

“I’ll sell on a straight commission,” replied Charley. “If I don’t sell anything you don’t owe me anything.”

The startled Sales Manager was speechless for a few seconds. Then he said, “I guess I can’t turn down an offer like that so let’s see if we can agree on an appropriate commission. What do you suggest?”

How about a straight 10% commission on the dollar amount of all the Lapp products I sell in Washington, Oregon and Alaska?” The Sales Manager agreed and they shook hands to seal the deal. Charley returned to Seattle with a suitcase full of literature on the post insulators and other Lapp products. He went directly to his General Electric boss and turned in his two-week resignation notice. Then he went home and told his wife.

“How much will you get paid?” asked his wife.

“It depends on how much I sell,” replied Charley. “I get a ten-percent commission on everything I sell for the Lapp Company. Don’t worry honey. We have enough saved to live on until I get my first commission check.”

Within a couple of years Charley was selling more post insulators than any Lapp sales representative elsewhere in the country. In fact, income from his commissions exceeded the salary being paid to Lapp Sales Managers in other parts of the country. After a few more years he was making more that the new National Sales Manager at Lapp who, jealously, tried to cut Charley’s sales territory in half. The man Charley had made the deal with was now President of the Lapp Company and he refused to allow Charley’s territory to be cut. He said, “Charley and I made a handshake deal and that is the way it’s going to stay.”

After several more years Charley was making more in commissions than the President of Lapp was being paid in salary and bonuses. Another effort was made to cut Charley’s income by lowering his commission. “No way,” said the man Charley had made the deal with who was now Chairman of the Board of the Lapp Company. “Charley and I made that deal and shook on it and that’s the way it’s going to stay.”

And, as long as Charley lived, that’s the way it stayed.

Post script: I never became a sales representative but I used Charley’s information and that of the my sales study for my personal benefit on the job and beyond.

 
E – N – D

10 Expenses You Don’t Need

10 Expenses You Don’t Need 

 

Skip paying for these everyday costs and save a fortune.  

By Jeffrey R. Kosnett, Senior Editor, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance  

July 29, 2010  

Article copied from http://www.kiplinger.com/features/archives/10-expenses-you-dont-need.html  

Confession: I hate to pay for parking. Unless it’s as hot as Iraq or raining cats and dogs, I will do whatever it takes to find a legal space on the street, preferably free. And I’m good at it. It mainly takes faith, patience and experience. Recently, I found a spot on Chicago’s North Avenue next to the famous Second City comedy club on a Saturday night, saving the $17 the building’s garage demanded — and the half-hour wait to climb the ramp after the show. I’ve done these kinds of things for years. 

In the spirit of trading personal convenience for cold cash that remains in your wallet, here are nine other everyday expenses you don’t need:  

Banking Fees of All Sorts 

Banking fees are generally small — a couple dollars here, a couple dollars there — but they can add up to hundreds throughout the year if you’re not careful. Don’t pay money just to manage your money. You can take easy steps to avoid these fees:  

• Overdraft fees. Sign up for low-balance alerts via e-mail, and link your checking account to your savings account to move money as necessary to avoid $35 fees for insufficient funds. 

• Checks and postage. Pay your bills electronically instead. You’ll also avoid any late fees and black marks on your record if the postal service loses your payment.  

• ATM fees. Know where your own bank’s ATMs are located, even in other states, so you can save $3 every time you get cash out of the wall. Or consider switching to a bank that offers free ATM usage regardless of which bank’s ATM you tap.  

• Coin-counting commissions. Save the 5% it can cost you to cash in your nickels and quarters at the supermarket. Coin counting is gratis at hundreds of TD Bank branches in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Florida, whether or not you have an account. (Just pray the machine, called Penny Arcade, isn’t down for service. That seems to happen a lot.)  

Basic Investing Advice 

There are plenty of wise reasons to engage a financial planner or adviser — but there are also pointless ones. If all you want is help choosing mutual funds, especially if your choices are basic index funds inside a retirement plan, it’s silly to fork over as much as 1.5% of your savings each year for someone to run a common software program to do this for you. You can arrange your money among different investments yourself or build a simple portfolio with little effort. Then rebalance every quarter or six months to restore your weightings.  

By all means, get an excellent estate planner or an accountant when it’s time to think about taxes and bequests. But you don’t need help for everything.  

Help Applying for Financial Aid 

Commercial sites like FAFSA.com will help you complete and submit the important application for student aid for $79.99. But at the U.S. Department of Education’s site, www.fafsa.ed.gov, you can fill out the application for free — with all sorts of guidance on how to assemble the proper personal information.  

Pet Care 

Pet-sitting is big business these days, with brand names, franchises, uniforms, logos, and even lobbyists and consultants. But if your little guys are healthy, you can save the $50-a-day boarding fee while you’re on vacation by asking a responsible neighbor, friend or family member to feed, walk (if needed) and hang out for a bit with your cats and dogs — provided you volunteer to do the same when they’re away. Make sure your helper knows who your vet is, and, obviously, don’t be so informal if your animals have health problems that mean you should board them with the doctor.  

Insurance on Rental Cars 

The rental-car clerk will offer you a collision-damage waiver (sometimes called a loss-damage waiver), which can cost $10 to $20 per day. The CDW shields you if the rental car is damaged or stolen. But as long as the rental is for personal use and you have collision coverage in your own auto-insurance policy, you’re covered without the CDW (with the same deductibles that apply to your own car).  

Your credit-card benefits supplement your auto coverage. Most cards will pick up your deductible, and premium cards offer beefier coverage. Keep in mind that credit-card protection doesn’t include liability. And if you’ve dropped comprehensive or collision coverage on your policy, the rental car will not be covered if it is stolen or damaged in an accident.  

Credit Reports 

Don’t fall for sites that offer “free” credit reports, which often end up enrolling you in expensive credit-monitoring programs that you usually don’t need. You can get a free copy of your credit report from each of the three credit bureaus (Experian, Equifax and TransUnion) once every 12 months at www.annualcreditreport.com. It’s a good idea to stagger your reports — getting a free one from each bureau every four months — to keep an eye on the status of your credit and spot potential ID theft throughout the year.  

Warranties 

The other day I bought the snazziest new Samsung smart phone from T-Mobile at the fair price of $249. The sales rep couldn’t let me go, however, without asking me to pay $125 more for insurance against me dropping the unit or otherwise ruining it. The cheaper electronics get, the less these warranties make sense. Same’s true with appliances. Now, if I could insure the suits I take to the dry cleaners — or the luggage the airlines throw around — we might have something to talk about.  

Shipping for Online Shopping 

At www.FreeShipping.org, you can find coupons and codes to secure free (or deeply discounted) mailing or delivery from hundreds of retailers. Some of these are constant offers as long as you make a minimum order. Others are occasional deals with a limited life. And if there’s no cost for mailing, you can’t get hit with that mysterious charge for “handling,” right?  

Water 

There are times you’ll pay anything for a cold bottle of premium H2O. If you’re driving through the desert, riding your bicycle on a hot day or dealing with grimy yellow stuff in your pipes, price is no object. Once while on vacation in Florida, a construction crew accidentally cut the water lines to our residence. Off to Wal-Mart it was — or we would’ve been unable to cook, wash or even make coffee for 12 hours. But why pay for bottled water all the time? Is it actually safer? Bottled-water makers aren’t required to test their water or make their test results public. And few brands reveal important details about the source of their water and what it contains. Heck, about 25% of bottled water actually comes from the same municipal sources that deliver water to your home.  

10 Stock Market Myths

Ten Stock-Market Myths That Just Won’t Die 

by Brett Arends
Monday, July 26, 2010

provided by WSJ.com (article copies from Yahoo Fiance) 

  

The Dow plummeted nearly 800 points a few weeks ago — and then just as dramatically rocketed back up again. The widely watched market indicator is down 7% from where it stood in April and up 59% from where it was at its 2009 nadir. 

These kinds of stomach-churning swings are testing investors’ nerves once again. You may already feel shattered from the events of 2008-2009. Since the Greek debt crisis in the spring, turmoil has been back in the markets. 

At times like this, your broker or financial adviser may offer words of wisdom or advice. There are standard calming phrases you will hear over and over again. But how true are they? Here are 10 that need extra scrutiny. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average last week ended up pretty much where it had been a little more than a week earlier. A rousing 200-point rally on Wednesday mostly made up for the distressing 200-point selloff of the previous Friday.

  

1 “This is a good time to invest in the stock market.” 

Really? Ask your broker when he warned clients that it was a bad time to invest. October 2007? February 2000? A broken watch tells the right time twice a day, but that’s no reason to wear one. Or as someone once said, asking a broker if this is a good time to invest in the stock market is like asking a barber if you need a haircut. “Certainly, sir — step this way!” 

2 “Stocks on average make you about 10% a year.” 

Stop right there. This is based on some past history — stretching back to the 1800s — and it’s full of holes. 

About three of those percentage points were only from inflation. The other 7% may not be reliable either. The data from the 19th century are suspect; the global picture from the 20th century is complex. Experts suggest 5% may be more typical. And stocks only produce average returns if you buy them at average valuations. If you buy them when they’re expensive, you do a lot worse. 

3 “Our economists are forecasting…” 

Hold it. Ask your broker if the firm’s economist predicted the most recent recession — and if so, when. 

The record for economic forecasts is not impressive. Even into 2008 many economists were still denying that a recession was on the way. The usual shtick is to predict “a slowdown, but not a recession.” That way they have an escape clause, no matter what happens. Warren Buffett once said forecasters made fortune tellers look good. 

4 “Investing in the stock market lets you participate in the growth of the economy.” 

Tell that to the Japanese. Since 1989 their economy has grown by more than a quarter, but the stock market is down more than three quarters. Or tell that to anyone who invested in Wall Street a decade ago. And such instances aren’t as rare as you’ve been told. In 1969, the U.S. gross domestic product was about $1 trillion, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at about 1000. Thirteen years later, the U.S. economy had grown to $3.3 trillion. The Dow? About 1000. 

5 “If you want to earn higher returns, you have to take more risk.” 

This must come as a surprise to Mr. Buffett, who prefers investing in boring companies and boring industries. Over the last quarter century, the FactSet Research utilities index has even outperformed the exciting, “risky” Nasdaq Composite index. The only way to earn higher returns is to buy stocks cheap in relation to their future cash flows. As for “risk,” your broker probably thinks that’s “volatility,” which typically just means price ups and downs. But you and your Aunt Sally know that risk is really the possibility of losing principal. 

6 “The market’s really cheap right now. The P/E is only about 13.” 

The widely quoted price/earnings (PE) ratio, which compares share prices to annual after-tax earnings, can be misleading. That’s because earnings are so volatile — they’re elevated in a boom, and depressed in a bust. 

Ask your broker about other valuation metrics, like the dividend yield, which looks at the dividends you get for each dollar of investment; or the cyclically adjusted PE ratio, which compares share prices to earnings over the past 10 years; or “Tobin’s q,” which compares share prices to the actual replacement cost of company assets. No metric is perfect, but these three have good track records. Right now all three say the stock market’s pretty expensive, not cheap. 

7 “You can’t time the market.” 

This hoary old chestnut keeps the clients fully invested. Certainly it’s a fool’s errand to try to catch the market’s twists and turns. But that doesn’t mean you have to suspend judgment about overall valuations. 

If you invest in shares when they’re cheap compared to cash flows and assets — typically this happens when everyone else is gloomy — you will usually do very well. 

If you invest when shares are very expensive — such as when everyone else is absurdly bullish — you will probably do badly. 

8 “We recommend a diversified portfolio of mutual funds.” 

If your broker means you should diversify across things like cash, bonds, stocks, alternative strategies, commodities and precious metals, then that’s good advice. 

But too many brokers mean mutual funds with different names and “styles” like large-cap value, small-cap growth, midcap blend, international small-cap value, and so on. These are marketing gimmicks. There is, for example, no such thing as “midcap blend.” These funds are typically 100% invested all the time, and all in stocks. In this global economy even “international” offers less diversification than it did, because everything’s getting tied together. 

9 “This is a stock picker’s market.” 

What? Every market seems to be defined as a “stock picker’s market,” yet for most people the lion’s share of investment returns — for good or ill — has typically come from the asset classes (see No. 8, above) they’ve chosen rather than the individual investments. And even if this does turn out to be a stock picker’s market, what makes you think your broker is the stock picker in question? 

10 “Stocks outperform over the long term.” 

Define the long term? If you can be down for 10 or more years, exactly how much help is that? As John Maynard Keynes, the economist, once said: “In the long run we are all dead.” 

Write to Brett Arends at brett.arends@wsj.com 

Middle Class Shrinking – Fast

The Middle Class in America Is Radically Shrinking. Here Are the Stats to Prove it Posted Jul 15, 2010 02:25pm EDT by Michael Snyder in 

 

 

The 22 statistics detailed here prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that the middle class is being systematically wiped out of existence in America.  

 

The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer at a staggering rate. Once upon a time, the United States had the largest and most prosperous middle class in the history of the world, but now that is changing at a blinding pace.   

 So why are we witnessing such fundamental changes? Well, the globalism and “free trade” that our politicians and business leaders insisted would be so good for us have had some rather nasty side effects. It turns out that they didn’t tell us that the “global economy” would mean that middle class American workers would eventually have to directly compete for jobs with people on the other side of the world where there is no minimum wage and very few regulations. The big global corporations have greatly benefited by exploiting third world labor pools over the last several decades, but middle class American workers have increasingly found things to be very tough.   

 Here are the statistics to prove it:    

• 83 percent of all U.S. stocks are in the hands of 1 percent of the people.
• 61 percent of Americans “always or usually” live paycheck to paycheck, which was up from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007.
• 66 percent of the income growth between 2001 and 2007 went to the top 1% of all Americans.
• 36 percent of Americans say that they don’t contribute anything to retirement savings.
• A staggering 43 percent of Americans have less than $10,000 saved up for retirement.
• 24 percent of American workers say that they have postponed their planned retirement age in the past year.
• Over 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, which represented a 32 percent increase over 2008.
• Only the top 5 percent of U.S. households have earned enough additional income to match the rise in housing costs since 1975.
• For the first time in U.S. history, banks own a greater share of residential housing net worth in the United States than all individual Americans put together.
• In 1950, the ratio of the average executive’s paycheck to the average worker’s paycheck was about 30 to 1. Since the year 2000, that ratio has exploded to between 300 to 500 to one.
• As of 2007, the bottom 80 percent of American households held about 7% of the liquid financial assets.
• The bottom 50 percent of income earners in the United States now collectively own less than 1 percent of the nation’s wealth.
• Average Wall Street bonuses for 2009 were up 17 percent when compared with 2008.
• In the United States, the average federal worker now earns 60% MORE than the average worker in the private sector.
• The top 1 percent of U.S. households own nearly twice as much of America’s corporate wealth as they did just 15 years ago.
• In America today, the average time needed to find a job has risen to a record 35.2 weeks.
• More than 40 percent of Americans who actually are employed are now working in service jobs, which are often very low paying.
• or the first time in U.S. history, more than 40 million Americans are on food stamps, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that number will go up to 43 million Americans in 2011.
• This is what American workers now must compete against: in China a garment worker makes approximately 86 cents an hour and in Cambodia a garment worker makes approximately 22 cents an hour.
• Approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 – the highest rate in 20 years.
• Despite the financial crisis, the number of millionaires in the United States rose a whopping 16 percent to 7.8 million in 2009.
• The top 10 percent of Americans now earn around 50 percent of our national income.Giant Sucking Sound  The reality is that no matter how smart, how strong, how educated or how hard working American workers are, they just cannot compete with people who are desperate to put in 10 to 12 hour days at less than a dollar an hour on the other side of the world. After all, what corporation in their right mind is going to pay an American worker 10 times more (plus benefits) to do the same job? The world is fundamentally changing. Wealth and power are rapidly becoming concentrated at the top and the big global corporations are making massive amounts of money. Meanwhile, the American middle class is being systematically wiped out of existence as U.S. workers are slowly being merged into the new “global” labor pool.   

What do most Americans have to offer in the marketplace other than their labor? Not much. The truth is that most Americans are absolutely dependent on someone else giving them a job. But today, U.S. workers are “less attractive” than ever. Compared to the rest of the world, American workers are extremely expensive, and the government keeps passing more rules and regulations seemingly on a monthly basis that makes it even more difficult to conduct business in the United States.   

 So corporations are moving operations out of the U.S. at breathtaking speed. Since the U.S. government does not penalize them for doing so, there really is no incentive for them to stay.   

 What has developed is a situation where the people at the top are doing quite well, while most Americans are finding it increasingly difficult to make it. There are now about six unemployed Americans for every new job opening in the United States, and the number of “chronically unemployed” is absolutely soaring. There simply are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.   

 Many of those who are able to get jobs are finding that they are making less money than they used to. In fact, an increasingly large percentage of Americans are working at low wage retail and service jobs.   

 But you can’t raise a family on what you make flipping burgers at McDonald’s or on what you bring in from greeting customers down at the local Wal-Mart.   

 The truth is that the middle class in America is dying — and once it is gone it will be incredibly difficult to rebuild.   

 theeconomiccollapseblog.comRecession   

The Patriotic Draftman

True Stories from the 20th Century at Pacificorp

By J. Charles Cheek[1]

© May 2004

 

The Patriotic Draftsman 

Hundreds of Vietnam Peace Marchers were parading south on SW 6th Avenue in downtown Portland. The leader was carrying an American Flag held upside down. The local media was filming the whole procession and interviewing participants and observers. Suddenly, someone darted out from the sidewalk, wrestled the flag away from the parade leader then proceeded to chew his butt and lecture him on patriotism. It was Bud Romans, one of the draftsmen that reported to me. 

The media rushed in and interviewed Bud extensively. Of course the interview was the lead story on the evening television news and identified Bud as a Pacific Power & Light Company employee. The VP of Engineering, Jack Stiles, wanted Romans fired for dragging the company name into the political quagmire of the Vietnam War. The word came down through two levels of supervision that I could have the honor of telling him he was fired. I was not pleased to be selected for the task. 

I jumped the two level of supervision, went straight to the VP’s office and asked for a private talk. I convinced him that firing Romans would only make it worse as Romans would go directly to the media and tell them he had been fired for being a patriotic American. The VP reluctantly agreed then called me up the next day and thanked me for intervening. “I got caught up in the emotion of it,” said Stiles. 

Romans quit a few months later and became a successful charter fishing boat captain on the Oregon Coast.

E – N – D

 


[1] Mr. Cheek has written dozens short stories under the general headings of True Stores from the 20th Century at Pacificorp and Digressions of J. Charles.  He is also the author of the novel Stay Safe, Buddy – A Story of Humor and Horror during the Korean War,300 pages, Publish America ISBN # 159286631X

Is Your Wife or Your Dog Your Best Friend?

Is your wife or your dog your best friend? Here’s a test.

 Lock both in the trunk of your car for half an hour, then open it up and see which one is really, really happy to see you.